
2024 marks the 20-year anniversary of my first real investments that I made late in my intern year. I'm older and hopefully a little wiser. I wanted to share with you some of the things I've learned.
Timeless Wisdom
I knew many of these things 20 years ago, but they are just as true now as they were then. I have had the opportunity to spend two decades having them reinforced to me. All successful investors should internalize these bits of timeless wisdom. These lessons include:
- There are many roads to Dublin. There are hundreds of reasonable ways to invest. Just pick one and stay with it.
- Index funds work because they must. It's just math, and it always works. It doesn't work because the market is efficient (although it is efficient enough that the right move is to act as if it is perfectly efficient). It works because costs matter.
- Stay the course. Investing can be simple, but it's not easy. It's not easy because it takes time and you have to stick with your plan no matter what happens. That's hard for humans.
- Diversify. Diversification protects you from what you don't know and what you can't know. Being diversified means always being unhappy with something in your portfolio.
- Earning and saving matters. In fact, it matters more than your investments. Most of America (and the world) has an income problem. People dramatically overestimate the difficulty of doubling their income. People also suck at saving money. The secret to having large investment accounts is putting a lot of money in there.
- Individual stock investing is a bad idea. If professional active fund managers can't beat the market before their costs and taxes, what makes you think you can? Don't you have something better to do with your time than lose your hard-earned savings by picking stocks?
- Avoid speculative investments. If it doesn't pay interest, have earnings, or generate rents, it is, by definition, speculative. That doesn't mean you can't make money with it, but it's far closer to gambling than investing. If you can't resist it all together, at least limit how much you put into these “investments.”
- Market timing doesn't work long-term. If it was as easy as you think it is, everyone would be doing it successfully. It turns out that everyone's crystal ball is cloudy.
More information here:
Best Investment Portfolios – 150 Portfolios Better Than Yours
The 1 Portfolio Better Than Yours
What I've Learned
I don't want to spend too much time on that stuff today. Hopefully, you already know all of that. Today, I want to talk about what I didn't necessarily know 20 years ago but am sure about today.
Your 30s Are the Best Time for Doctors to Get Rich
This one surprised me. I didn't really see why one decade should be better than any others. As a general rule, people make more in their 50s than in any other decade. I came out of residency at 31 with one child and another on the way. Our net worth at the end of 2005 (when I was 30) was $17,084.38. Essentially, we were broke. That's pretty good for doctors, most of whom have a negative net worth upon completing training.
Ten years later, at the end of 2015, we had four kids and our net worth was $2.16 million. We had gone from broke to being multi-millionaires. We weren't yet financially independent, but it was rapidly approaching. We had built a family and we had built wealth. What happened in those 10 years? We paid for my expensive education (in our case with time, not money). We bought one house and then upgraded to a nicer one. We lived like a resident for a few years. I made partner in a financially successful physician group. We started and built a successful side business (WCI made $378,000 that year). We earned a lot and saved a whole bunch. Our savings rate in that decade was as high as 63%, but it generally ranged from 25%-45%. We specialized much more than we do now; Katie mostly took care of the home and I mostly built the career and business. It worked. We got rich in our 30s, and I'm super grateful we put such a big focus on it during that decade.
The problem with your 20s is that you don't make much money. You don't know anything or know how to do anything that anyone is willing to pay all that much for. This is generally true whether or not you're in medicine. Those who get rich in their 20s are either extraordinary or just lucky. The problem with your 40s is that you lose interest. Your career is no longer new and cool. Work-life balance becomes important. Your family gets old enough that missing out on opportunities with them becomes increasingly painful. I know very few doctors in their 40s who don't want to cut back on call, unpleasant shifts, or how much they work. My informal surveys show that most doctors want to implement burnout-reducing options in their 40s and to retire at some point in their 50s. That leaves your 30s to get rich.
I've been telling people to live like a resident for 2-5 years after training for the entire time WCI has existed. I get a fair amount of pushback. Yes, it's true that a doctor can be financially successful without doing that—just like a doctor can make enough that they can do dumb things, like lease expensive cars, and still be OK eventually. But few who actually do it look back in their 40s or 50s and express regret about having done so. People coming out of training feel like they've been deferring gratification for so long that now they need to go hog wild. Inherent in that belief is a false idea—that they will care more about spendable income and free time in their 30s than they will in their 40s and 50s. It just isn't true for the vast majority. If you're not excited about practicing at 35, you're probably going to hate it at 45.
Simplify
Thoreau famously said, “Simplify, simplify, simplify.” I suppose I knew this 20 years ago, but I didn't REALLY know it. If I did, I wouldn't have had a five-figure portfolio with 10 asset classes. Frankly, it's pretty silly to have a five-figure retirement account portfolio invested in anything but a life strategy or a target retirement date fund.
Most doctors are investing across multiple types of accounts already, and when you multiply that by a multi-asset class portfolio, it can get nuts. Between Katie and I, we're investing in 15 different accounts for retirement. That doesn't include four UTMAs, four custodial Roths, more than 30 529s, and a double-digit number of real estate investments. Even our business is really six or seven businesses, and we own multiple trusts. We get more than 20 K-1s and file taxes in a dozen or more states. We simplified our portfolio after a few years—and it's still super complex. We're always looking for ways to reduce the number of K-1s we get and the number of states where we have to file.
If you build wealth as you should, your financial life is going to be complicated enough. Don't make it any worse than you must. Make sure you have a very good reason every time you add complexity, and don't be afraid to leave some money on the table in order to simplify.
The Passivity of Income Is a Continuum
One of the reasons I started WCI as a business in 2011 was because I got all excited about “passive income.” It didn't turn out to be all that passive, and for a few years, there wasn't much income either. While the IRS has a very clear definition of what passive and active income is, the truth is that some passive income is more passive than other passive income. You want to know what's really passive? Mutual fund dividends. On a monthly, quarterly, or annual basis, they hit my account (and are often automatically reinvested) without me doing squat. Everything else is more active than that. Don't get me wrong; I'm a big fan of passive income. It's pretty cool to come home from vacation richer than when you left. But just because something is more passive than your regular job doesn't mean it's better.
Trees Don't Grow to the Sky, But You Might Be Surprised What Happens to Them
Economist Herbert Stein said, “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” What Stein didn't comment on, however, is how it will stop. I've been surprised multiple times by how some of these things that cannot go on forever change. In my first book, for example, I had a chapter called “The Big Squeeze” that talked about how doctors had downward pressure on their incomes and upward pressure on the cost of becoming a doctor. That chapter was written shortly after subsidized medical school loans went away, and tuition and debt levels were rising rapidly. That squeeze could not have gone on forever. So, what happened to “The Big Squeeze?” Doctor incomes went up, but the relative cost of education mostly went down. Average student loan debt flatlined. Some medical schools became free. PSLF became increasingly generous and easier and easier to get. IDRs went from ICR to IBR to PAYE to REPAYE to SAVE. Now, medical school loans don't even grow during residency, and students don't even take out private loans. Didn't see most of that coming 15 years ago.
Crypto and NFTs came along and bubbled up. The NFT bubble basically imploded, never to return. Nobody talks about them anymore. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum ended up with their own ETFs and plenty of loyal disciples. Meme stocks and the Wall Street Bets phenomenon ended about where we all expected they would, but the pathway to get there surprised many. Interest rate movements over the last decade have been anything but predictable, too. Strange times we live in, but it turns out that all times are strange.
Insurance Is Expensive for a Reason
I hate buying insurance as much as the next person. It feels like you're just throwing money away, but you'd prefer to do that than to actually make a claim. If a given type of insurance is expensive, it's probably because it gets used frequently. Docs get disabled all the time: in residency, in early career, in mid career, and in late career. I have a friend in her 30s with a terminal breast cancer diagnosis. I've had multiple colleagues die long before retirement age. Houses burn down. You run your boat aground, and kids wreck your cars. People get sick and hurt. We haven't had a lot of insurance claims, but a lot of that has just been sheer luck. Insurance against financial catastrophes might be the most important part of financial planning.
Investing Is the Easy Part
Speaking of financial planning, you know which is the easiest of the financial tasks? Investment management. One of the most amazing parts of the financial services industry is how reluctant people are to pay for financial planning while being so willing to ridiculously overpay for investment management.
Tax prep can be hard. Estate planning can be hard. Over the years, we've paid pros a lot of money to help with those tasks. But investment management? Even more so than college and cars, investment management costs what you're willing to pay. There is no better-paying hobby/side gig than managing your own investments, and it pays you more and more each year.
You Get Richer Every Month
Another sign that you're living your financial life correctly is that you get richer every month. While there are occasional exceptions (big bear markets and with big expenses), your net worth graph mostly plods along upward and to the right. For most people, that process even continues after you stop working. If you're worried that maybe you can't quite afford something, give it a few months. You can probably get it then. Delaying expenses is almost the same thing as avoiding them completely. Things I never could have justified at 30 made sense at 35 and were trivial at 40. If you're still fighting with your spouse about $100 purchases at 50, you've really screwed up this wealth-building process.
What do you think? What lessons have you learned in your investing career?
30 529s?
He is a generous uncle I am sure
We’ve opened and funded one for each of our nieces and nephews and we both come from relatively large families. Plus the four for our kids. So far I’ve got one through college with seven currently withdrawing from their 529s.
Your discussion about your 30s and 40s is apt, though there are likely to be variables that affect it. Especially the age of your children (if you have any) and the length of your training. Work/life balance has become more important to me in my early 40s though my youngest is still two years old, so I can only ease off on income earning so much…
Your 2015 to 2024 net worth change numbers are likely amazing as well.
I certainly think so, but once you get very far into 7 figures, even here in this community, it starts to come off like bragging rather than a useful and inspirational example. Stopping when I did also minimizes the effect from our successful entrepreneurial venture, which had a much larger effect after that time. WCI was still making less than I was back in 2015. So the example as I wrote it is much more relevant to most doctors.
Yes, entrepreneurial success is a different market than this website. As a long time reader it’s very interesting to get a peak occasionally into that world, though (the wakeboat, the new high end truck bought for cash, some of the personal portfolio posts that give a clue to your current assets)
Most doctors are better off staying doctors as you don’t need to do much other than show up to work, spend and save somewhat reasonably, and you’ll be a millionaire within 20 years. No creativity or risk required, just sleep deprivation and a lot of hours. Very few will break out of the single digit millionaire club, though. That still allows 1-2 toys along the way and a nice life, particularly those who are already done with training so those years are a sunk cost.
Still the entrepreneurial rewards are great even though the outcomes are wide. Very interesting how little capital was required (maybe a few thousand for a trademark lawyer and a website designer) just hundreds of hours of time. If it didn’t work out you were just out your time unlike some capital intensive startups. I’d encourage my kids to try entrepreneurship if they have any interest rather than the conventional path. The millionaire next door says that many entrepreneurs encouraged their kids to pick a stable profession, though, so the grass is always greener on the other side.
For sure just about any doctor can retire not just a millionaire, but a multimillionaire doing nothing but going to work, carving out 20%, and investing it in boring old index funds and most entrepreneurial ventures fail miserably.
And yes, WCI was all sweat equity in the beginning, but the beginning was a long time and many employees ago. The trademark lawyer and website designer was even long after the beginning.
My first college student is an entrepreneurship major. No surprise I guess. She was pre-med for like 2 weeks.
One thing that is implied but not explicitly stated here is patience.
Hustle and effort are all well and good, but a career is more a marathon than a sprint, or maybe more like a triathlon or adventure race. It is great if you reach the first transition faster than anyone else. But, if you don’t have anything left in the tank, the rest of your event is going to suck.
The milestones from one of your previous posts are important transitions to celebrate. Back to broke. The first 100k in retirement accounts. Home paid off. These are things some people never can enjoy. Thank you for another insightful post.
Slight disagreement with your analogy…. Front loaded effort matters a lot in investing. Agree patience is key though as many people try to get somewhere too fast, taking risks they don’t need to. But if you put in effort upfront and let it sit/don’t eat into your nest egg, it will grow on its own. I think that’s what WCI was implying also about your 30s being the time to pinch/work hard
Now in my 80s and in my 30s set a salary that was way below income and stuck with that for 10 years. Explored mostly ways to invest toward retirement and eventually able to “cheat” and withdraw money out of an IRA(combined multiple plans ) starting at age 55 allowing me to semi retire. I followed mostly what was described in this article. Simple but difficult as life unfolds. Now the account is still in multi million generating enough income to live comfortably . I am still not a gambler but patience and common sense investment is the answer. Remember you individually even with best stock broker can not beat the market . The larger your nest egg then the larger your starting point which most doctors do not start with !
Concentrate on tax free growth and tax free withdraw, 529’s, Roth’s, HSA’s. Then taxed deferred retirement accounts. Leverage your income with children by participating in all the above in their names, if able too? S corporations still have nice perks too. Capital gains, better than earned income. Play the game of tax avoidance the best you can. May not affect you directly, sometimes only the extended family benefits (charity starts at home first). Or pay more than you should and don’t worry about it. Life is short, enjoy the ride. Personally, I like playing by the rules the best I can, don’t worry about the crumbs. If I get 90% done correctly, I am in the 99%. Nothing makes me happier, than the laughs of my spouse, children and grandchildren, my thirst is quenched.
Good luck and read WCI! WCI is right at least 90% of the time.
John D Woody MD
At least 90%. 🙂 Gotta love the backhanded compliments.
Not sure if you’re saying S corp perks include capital gains treatment or not, but just so you and others are aware, that’s not the case. You save payroll taxes on S Corp distributions, but you still pay ordinary income tax rates on them.
“Being diversified means always being unhappy with something in your portfolio.”
Priceless advice right there.
Co-sign. This line smacked me in the back of the head as a great reminder while I watch some asset classes underperform VTSAX this year.
Excellent blog post. Agree with all points listed. I wish I had known more and gotten started in my 30’s. I had to “pedal harder” to get back on track in my 40’s.
One thing I would add to the list/blog post: The Importance of Estate Planning. If you haven’t had a run in with a lack of (or sloppy/inadequate) estate planning yet, then you are lucky. Even if you have a solid estate plan for yourself and your spouse, if your parents or in-laws don’t have one, it is in your interest to help them get one set up. It can have an extreme impact on your future financial well being, even if you aren’t counting on receiving assets when relatives pass. (And God forbid if they pass in California w/o a will. Probate is the 9th rung of Hell!)
Protect yourself and your extended family from the financial and emotional chaos that dying without a will and end of life directives will cause.
Estate planning is obviously important. It’s hard to put everything that is important into every post though.
Great review as usual. My only quibble, though, is that Jim talking about the ease of financial investing versus planning is sort of like a major league ballplayer saying to just keep hitting the ball. I handled retirement investments for years with good returns with diversified Vanguard index funds. I sort of ran out of interest, though, as the pool got larger and there were more taxable funds along with the tax deferred ones. I fired myself after handling my SEP (yes I know this should have been a Roth!) and my Vanguard advisor’s taxable fund management (even with munis) beat me over several years. I am satisfied with the 0.3% charge for the long term 8% return in the balanced portfolio, though, I realize this might be 12% if my life rotated about making money in bio startups. The only financial “bet” is a small push up by Vanguard in international stock and bonds over the past several years
Glad you found a method that works for you!
Thanks! Love your posts/updates.
Glad you find them helpful.