By Dr. Jim Dahle, WCI Founder

A WCIer sent me a link to a profanity-filled diatribe about the FIRE movement recently. For those who are unaware, FIRE stands for Financially Independent Retire Early. That diatribe was filled with so many straw men that it was hard to take seriously, but if you sorted through the garbage, there were a few pearls in there. I thought a criticism of it might make for a fun post, pointing out the straw men and the issues that someone contemplating FIRE really should consider.

I don't know much about the guy who wrote it, Jared Dillian. I think he might have used to work in finance and now maybe works from home as a freelance writer or blogger or something. He has seven cats, has a side gig DJing, and loves his Rolex. He is trying to sell his book. Doesn't matter. We're not going ad hominem here; instead, we'll be focusing on his arguments.

 

Unstructured Free Time

His first criticism of FIRE is that early retirees have too much unstructured free time, and they won't like it. Seems a little rich for a guy who works from home writing on his own schedule but whatever. Here's how he puts it:

“I am not a big fan of unstructured free time. If you’re like me, you probably know some Boomers who have retired poorly. They had visions of going to the beach, traveling, or visiting the grandkids, and instead they spend their days in the living room with the brown carpet with Fox News turned up to 11. Retirement is hard. If you don’t have a plan, you will descend into loneliness and despair, with Fox News as background noise. If you retire in your 30s, you will spend a lot of time playing the ding-a-ling banjo. After a few years of such self-abuse, you will write a book that nobody reads, play songs that nobody hears, or start a blog that nobody clicks on. You will accomplish nothing. You will live a life without accomplishment or purpose. But that’s not even the worst part . . .

The one thing you consistently hear from the FIRE folks is that they are quitting their jobs to pursue their dreams. I don’t know about you, but I can only spend so many hours a day pursuing my dreams. Like, I can’t DJ all the time. I simply could not fill the hours. You know what I can do all the time? Work.”

That's a serious straw man there. Look, some people need more structured time than others to be happy. I've found that six shifts a month and a few meetings a week are plenty of structured time for me. I really like days with nothing on the calendar. If I have three or four of them in a row? Great. Doesn't bother me. And I love being able to disappear off the grid for a week or even three at a time. The unspoken implication here, of course, is that staying in a job or field you hate instead of FIREing from it is better. That's garbage. You can have a life without accomplishment or purpose with or without work and with or without being financially independent.

There are also plenty of really cool things that work will keep you from doing. Want to spend three weeks backpacking in Bhutan? Want to cross Antarctica? Good luck doing that while holding down a regular job and having to use your two weeks of vacation a year to visit both sets of grandparents.

The kernel of truth here, of course, is that you need to retire to something, whether you retire at 35 or 75. But it's OK to have a little “spaciousness” until you find that something.

More information here:

Is FIRE Really Just an Empty Goal?

Finding Purpose in Retirement

 

Market Watching and Unrealistic Return Expectations?

The next bit of his argument is probably the biggest straw man in the whole post.

“The worst part is that you will spend every waking moment hawking over the movements of the stock market. If the stock market goes up, you can stay retired. If the stock market goes down, and stays down, you will have to get a job, which will be impossible if you have a 10-year gap in your CV. If you’re financially trained, you know the periodicity of corrections and bear markets and great bear markets. Over the course of 50 years, there will be lots of ups and downs, and at least one occasion where the stock market goes down 50% or more. If that happens, you will be [soiling] your pants. You will be paralyzed with fear. Retiring at age 35 sounds interesting in principle, but in practice, it would be hell. Imagine being completely idle and have nothing to do except worry about your small pile of money turning to dust . . .

The FIRE people typically use very generous return assumptions on their investment portfolios. They generally think that the stock market returns 12% a year. I have seen the 15% number thrown around. The stock market does not return 12% or 15% a year. It returns a little over 9%. So what these ding-dongs do is build a spreadsheet of their earnings and extrapolate it out 50 years, thinking that they are the first people on earth to discover compound interest. And sure, if you are compounding at 12%, the numbers look pretty good. But there is no rule that says that the stock market will return 12% a year. The conditions that led to prior returns might not be present for future returns. It’s a belief that these 12% returns are an immutable law of nature, like gravity. Really, it’s an article of faith. You’re betting your life and your life savings on the idea that US stocks will be the most attractive destination for capital over the next 100 years. I am not so sure, certainly not sure enough to bet my life on it.”

What? I've never seen a serious FIRE blogger advocate for expected returns of 12%, much less 15%. And most don't argue for US stock-only portfolios. I would argue that, more than just about anyone else, hardcore members of the FIRE community “get” the numbers behind retiring and the stock market. While they are usually DIY investors, they're usually capable ones with low-cost, broadly diversified index fund portfolios appropriate for their financial goals. They have a realistic idea of what they can expect from stocks and other financial instruments. Most of society would do better with a little more of the financial literacy that is pretty universal among the FIRE crowd.

 

FIRE Folks Are Cheap Environmentalists

Not frugal. Not thrifty. Cheap. Here's how he puts it:

“This is a fact: material things bring us happiness. It is good and right and a joyful thing to see a fancy new jacket in a store, try it on, look in the mirror, whip out your credit card, wear it out of the store, and show it off to all your friends. To deny yourself a lifetime of material possessions is insanity. You’re not Gandhi. The FIRE movement is not a savings and investment movement. It is an anti-consumption movement, and it has its roots in environmentalism. If you don’t buy something, it won’t end up in the landfill, and you will lead an entire life without any impact on the planet. These people are the cheapest of cheap [schmucks] on the planet, because they believe that consumption is evil. They will agonize and obsess over a dollar. All their kids are going to end up in therapy . . .

I don’t want to consume nothing and produce nothing—I want to produce a lot and consume a lot. That is pretty much what life is all about. Live hard and leave a smoking crater. Just because we have possessions doesn’t mean our possessions own us. Stuff isn’t who we are—relationships are more important. But go out and buy a new Rolex and tell me that stuff doesn’t make you happy. The Rolex doesn’t make you happy—it was the virtues it took to make the money that you bought it with, which is something the FIRE people will never understand.”

I think there's some validity in this criticism, but by taking it to the opposite extreme, he opens himself up to just as much criticism as he passes out. Unbridled consumerism IS bad for the planet. And while maybe your new Rolex does make you happier (I'm certainly enjoying my new truck), there's probably a limit on how much it can do for you on the happiness scale. The scarcity mentality is bad, but we do only get one planet and the happiness studies are pretty clear that “stuff” can only do so much for you in the happiness realm. Consuming is definitely NOT what life is all about.

More information here:

Frugal vs. Cheap – What’s the Difference? (Plus 11 Tips to Avoid Being Cheap)

 

The FIRE Community Hates Work

This one is a great example of truth and lies all wound up together.

“The one thing that all the FIRE people have in common is that they hate work. Like, they really, really hate their jobs. I have a theory on this. Happy people like their jobs, unhappy people don’t. It doesn’t matter what job they have; unhappy people will be unhappy no matter what they are doing. They talk about the ‘soul-destroying' 40-hour work week. I don’t know about you, but I like the 80-hour work week even better. I have something in common with Mike Bloomberg—my favorite time of the week is Sunday night, because I am so excited about going back to work the following morning and do [stuff]. The Sunday Scaries are for cherries. I’ll go further and say these people are lazy . . . Can you imagine employing one of these people, plotting and scheming to do as little work as possible, counting the days until retirement, shirking and malingering, creating negative value in the process? Imagine a person whose goal is to produce nothing, consume nothing, and merely exist, stealing everyone else’s oxygen in the process.”

I confess that I agree that many people seeking FIRE really just need a better job. But let's be honest, lots of jobs suck, and I'd be lying if I didn't say I much prefer to work part-time than full-time. To pretend that it is super easy for everyone to find high-paying work that they love so much they would do it for free is Pollyannaish at best.

You know what some of the things I've done in my life that have made me happiest? Dropping night shifts. Hiring help in our business that allowed me to not do the stuff I hate. Getting out of the military where I was seeing five patients an hour for 12 hours a day for 15 shifts a month, more when someone got deployed but still grateful it wasn't me that deployed. You know what allowed me to do that? The principles espoused by the FIRE community—high savings rate, smart investments, lifestyle control, working smarter and not harder. I've worked 80-hour weeks for multiple years. Pretending it's enjoyable and sustainable long term for the vast majority of people—even hard-driven type A people—is nonsense. But work has been and continues to be a meaningful part of my life, even post-FI.

More information here:

I’m Retiring in My Mid-40s; Here’s How I’ll Start Drawing Down My Accounts

 

FIRE Is Racist

Here's where he really goes off the rails.

“You know who is responsible for this ridiculousness? White people. More specifically, white guys in checkered shirts with ironic moustaches in Longmont, Colorado. One of the questions you have to ask about finance fads is: what if everyone did it? What if everyone retired at age 35 and played the ding-a-ling banjo? Well, GDP would go to zero and the stock market would crash. Investing only works if other people are working. So really, the FIRE people are the ultimate free-riders, piggybacking off the efforts of others, while contributing nothing but blog posts and Instagram reels about Van Life. The FIRE movement has no political overtones, but it’s worth pointing out that its adherents are predominantly liberal, because no self-respecting conservative would spend one second considering the possibility of dropping out of society and covering “Hey Soul Sister” on the ukulele. The FIRE people also have a poor understanding of how capitalism works—the stock market is a function of corporate profits which is a function of output, which requires everyone to chip in. The stock market is not magic beans, and it is not number go up. An elegant solution to the problem of not enough money is to make more money, which never occurred to these dingbats.”

First of all, there's nothing racist about things like savings rates and index funds and safe withdrawal rates—the stuff of which FIRE is made. There are plenty of people in the FIRE community whose skin is not white.

There also isn't much risk of “everyone doing this.” Yes, FIRE folks are free-riding on those who work every day, just like index fund investors are free-riding on the efforts of the active managers out there. Human nature and investor behavior being what it is, this will never be something even a larger minority of people will do.

Then, he brings in some bizarre political bent to the movement (FIRE folks are all liberals!), which I thought was particularly interesting since he thinks retirees spend all their time watching Fox News on their brown carpet. As near as I can tell, aside from an anti-consumption bias (is that really political?), there is little political philosophy out there that is shared among FIRE adherents. And they're all capitalists as near as I can tell. I mean, that's what a capitalist is . . . someone whose capital does all of the work instead of their labor.

Finally, plenty of FI folks still do some work that makes money. They just love the freedom that comes with not having to do it.

 

Doctor FIRE Isn't Quite the Same

While Mr. Dillian's post was not doctor-specific, it's important to realize that the longer training pipeline of doctors somewhat ameliorates many of his criticisms of FIRE. Doctors don't typically FIRE at 30 or 35. Many of them haven't even started earning at those ages, much less paid off several hundred thousand dollars of student loans or burnt off a decade of pent-up delayed gratification. Extreme doctor FIRE doesn't really happen before your mid-40s, and most doctor FIRE probably doesn't happen until the early 50s. That removes 15ish years of financial and social pressure from the equation. It's just a fact of life that it can be “normal” for someone to be retired in their 50s, but it might still seem “weird” to some to be retired in their 30s or 40s.

On a related note, most of this criticism is all about the RE part of the equation. There is precious little bad about FI, although if you don't want the RE part of FIRE, taking a little longer to get the FI part might have allowed you to enjoy the ride a little more.

What do you think? What do you criticize about the FIRE movement? What did you think about this article?